Thursday (24.11.2011) - Session: Predictions


Time

Session: Predictions

8:30

8:45

UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT OF STREAMFLOW SIMULATION ON UNGAUGED CATCHMENTS USING A DISTRIBUTED MODEL AND THE KALMAN FILTER BASED MISP ALGORITHM - Múnera, J.C., Francés, F., Todini, E.

8:45

 

9:00

UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION OPTIONS IN URBAN FLASH FLOODS - Zhou, Q., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K.

9:00

9:15

EFFECTS OF UNCERTAINTY IN BOUNDARY-CONDITIONS ON FLOOD HAZARD ASSESSMENT - Domeneghetti, A., Vorogushyn, S., Castellarin, A., Merz, B., Brath, A.

9:15

9:30

BAYESIAN UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT OF FLOOD PREDICTIONS IN UNGAUGED URBAN BASIS FOR CONCEPTUAL RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELS - Sikorska, A., Scheidegger, A., Banasik, K., Rieckermann, J.

9:30

9:45

PROBABILISTIC FLOOD RISK MAPPING INCLUDING SPATIAL DEPENDENCE - Neal, J., Keef, C., Bates, P., Beven, K., Leedal, D.

9:45

10:00

DESIGN FLOOD PROFILES ESTIMATION: FREEBOARD VERSUS UNCERTAINTY BOUNDS - Brandimarte, L., Di Baldassarre, G.

10:00

10:30

Coffee break

10:30

11:00

VISUALISING PROBABILISTIC FLOOD FORECAST INFORMATION: EXPERT PREFERENCES AND PERCEPTIONS OF BEST PRACTICE IN UNCERTAINTY COMMUNICATION - Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E., Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Demeritt, D., Jan van Andel, Wetterhall, F., Alfieri, L. (solicited)

11:00

11:15

FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAPPING THROUGH GIS AND MULTI-CRITERIA ANALYSIS - Papaioannou, G., Loukas, A., Vasiliades, L., Aronica, G.T.

11:15

11:30

THE VALUE OF URBAN FLOOD MAPPING: APPLICATION TO THE CASE STUDY OF BARCELONNETTE (FRANCE) - Dottori, F., Di Baldassarre, G., Alfonso, L.

11:30

11:45

FLOOD-RISK MAPPING - A NEW INSIGHT INTO A MAJOR ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEM - Romanowicz, R., Kiczko, A., Osuch, M.

11:45

12:00

FLOOD IN TOWN - DECISION SUPPORT TOOL (VESNA) - Mišík, M., Kučera, M., Fridrich Tegelhoffová, M., Mrnčo, I.

12:00

13:30

Lunch break

13:30

13:45

ENSEMBLE PREDICTION OF FLOODS - PROCESS CONTROLS - Nester, T., Blöschl, G.

13:45

14:00

NEW METHODS OF FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING AT THE CZECH HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE - Březková, L., Novák, P.,  Jonov, M., Kyznarová, H., Šálek, M., Frolík, P., Janál, P.

14:00

14:15

TOWARDS A SEAMLESS FLOOD EARLY WARNING SYSTEM: FROM FLASH FLOODS TO GLOBAL FORECASTING - Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Pappenberger, F., Burek, P., Krzeminski, B., Muraro, D., Thielen, J., de Roo, A.

14:15

14:30

UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATION OF SIMULATED WATER LEVELS FOR THE MITCH FLOOD EVENT IN TEGUCIGALPA - Fuentes, D.C., Halldin, S., Xu, C-Y., Lundin, L-C.

14:30

14:45

Towards spatially distributed flood forecasts in flash flood prone areas: results of a first test in the South of France - Naulin, J.P., Payrastre, O., Gaume E., Delrieu G., Arnaud, P., Lutoff, C., Vincendon, B.

14:45

15:00

DEVELOPMENT OF EXPECTED ANNUAL DAMAGE CURVES AND MAPS AS A BASIC TOOL FOR THE RISK-BASED DESIGNING OF STRUCTURAL AND NON-STRUCTURAL MEASURES -Tariq, M.A.U.R., Van de Giesen, N.C., Hoes, O.

15:00

15:30

Coffee break

15:30

15:45

ON THE JOINT ESTIMATION OF FLOOD FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS AT SEASONAL AND ANNUAL TIME SCALE - Baratti, E., Montanari, A., Castellarin, A., Bezzi, A., Di Giulio, A., Ruzzante, E.

15:45

16:00

ESTIMATION OF FLOOD FREQUENCY CURVES IN POORLY GAUGED MEDITERRANEAN WATERSHEDS USING A DERIVED DISTRIBUTION PROCEDURE - Loukas, A., Vasiliades, L., Papaioannou, G., Aronica, G.T.

16:00

16:15

PERSISTENCE AS A FACTOR OF FLOOD HAZARD FOR EMBANKED RIVERS - Bogdanowicz, E., Strupczewski, W.G., Kochanek, K.

16:15

16:30

Probabilistic forecasting of antecedent soil moisture condition as flash flood precursor variables - Brigandi, G.,  Aronica, G.T., Loukas, A.,  Vasiliades, L., Papaioannou, G.

16:30

16:45

MODELLING OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON FLOODS BY CONTINUOUS SIMULATION WITH UNCERTAINTY - Blazkova, S., Beven, K., Martinkova, M.

16:45

17:00

CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF FLOOD RISK. CASE STUDY: VIDAA RIVER BASIN - Madsen, H., Larsen, J., Madsen, M.N.

17:00

18:00

Poster session

18:00

Leonardo Lecture

18:00

19:00

LOOKING AT FLOODS IN 3D - PROCESSES, PATTERNS, PREDICTIONS - Blöschl, G.

19:00

Conference dinner

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